Archive for March, 2010

Is coal really as dirty as they would have us believe? Just asking.

Wednesday, March 10th, 2010

I make no comment as to the veracity of this piece but I thought it was extremely interesting given the debate about closing coal generating plants in Ontario.

 

Maybe we’ve become too politically correct? all I know is that I looked around on line and found this column posted a lot of places. Of course, he’s been villified by the greens but so far, there’s very little rebuttal in terms of his arguments. Even Snopes has no record I can find. 

 

Is he correct?  

 

Written By Terence Cardwell
The Morning Bulletin (Australia).
I have sat by for a number of years frustrated at the rubbish being put forth about carbon dioxide emissions, thermal coal-fired power stations and renewable energy and the ridiculous Emissions Trading Scheme.Frustration at the lies told (particularly during the election) about global pollution.  Using Power Station cooling towers for an example.  The condensation coming from those cooling towers is as pure as that that comes out of any kettle.

Frustration about the so-called incorrectly-named man-made ‘carbon emissions’ which of course is Carbon Dioxide emissions, and what it is supposedly doing to our planet.

Frustration about the lies told about renewable energy and the deliberate distortion of renewable energy and its ability to replace fossil fuel energy generation.  And frustration at the ridiculous carbon credit programme which is beyond comprehension.

And further frustration at some members of the public who have not got a clue about thermal Power Stations or Renewable Energy.  Quoting ridiculous figures about something they clearly have little or no knowledge of.

First, coal-fired power stations do NOT send 60 to 70% of the energy up the chimney.  The boilers of modern power stations are 96% efficient, and the exhaust heat is captured by the economisers and reheaters and heat the air and water before entering the  boilers.
The very slight amount exiting the stack is moist as in condensation and CO2.  There is virtually no fly ash because this is removed by the precipitators or bagging plant that are 99.98% efficient.  

The 4% lost is heat through boiler wall convection.Coal-fired Power Stations are highly efficient with very little heat loss and can generate massive amount of energy for our needs.  They can generate power at an efficiency of less than 10,000 BTU energy ( = 10.55 MJ) per kilowatt (kWh?) ( 1 kWh = 3.6 MJ) and cost-wise that is very low.  (CBM markup)The percentage cost of mining and freight is very low.  The total cost of fuel is 8% of total generation cost and does NOT constitute a major production cost.

As for being laughed out of the country,

China is building multitudes of coal-fired power stations because they are the most efficient for bulk power generation.We have, like, the

USA, coal-fired power stations because we HAVE the raw materials and are VERY fortunate to have them.  Believe me, no one is laughing at

Australia - exactly the reverse, they are very envious of our raw materials and independence.A major percentage of power in Europe and

U.K. is nuclear because they don’t have the coal supply for the future.Yes, it would be very nice to have clean, quiet, cheap energy in bulk supply.  Everyone agrees that it would be ideal.  You don’t have to be a genius to work that out.  But there is only one problem—It doesn’t exist.Yes - there are wind and solar generators being built all over the world but they only add a small amount to the overall power demand.

The maximum size wind generator is 3 Megawatts, which can rarely be attained on a continuous basis because it requires substantial forces of wind.  And for the same reason they only generate when there is sufficient wind to drive them.  This of course depends where they are located but usually they only run for 45% -65% of the time, mostly well below maximum capacity.  

They cannot be relied upon for a ‘base load’ because they are too variable.  And they certainly could not be used for load control.The peak load demand for electricity in

Australia is approximately 50,000 Megawatts, and only small part of this comes from the Snowy Hydro Electric System (The ultimate power Generation) because it is only available when water is there from snow melt or rain.  And yes, they can pump it back but it costs to do that. (Long Story). 

Tasmania is very fortunate in that they have mostly hydro electric generation because of their high amounts of snow and rainfall.  They also have wind generators (located in the roaring forties) but that is only a small amount of total power generated.Based on a average generating output of 1.5 megawatts (of unreliable power) you would require over 33,300 wind generators.As for solar power generation, much research has been done over the decades and there are two types.  Solar thermal generation and Solar Electric generation, but in each case they cannot generate large amounts of electricity.

Any clean, cheap energy is obviously welcomed but they would NEVER have the capability of replacing Thermal power generation.  So get your heads out of the clouds, do some basic mathematics and look at the facts, not going off with the fairies (or some would say the extreme greenies.)

We are all greenies in one form or another and care very much about our planet.  The difference is most of us are realistic.  Not in some idyllic utopia where everything can be made perfect by standing around holding a banner and being a general pain in the backside.

Here are some facts that will show how ridiculous this financial madness the government is following.  Do the simple maths and see for yourselves.

According to the ‘believers’ the CO2 in the air has risen from .034% to .038% in air over the last 50 years.

To put the percentage of Carbon Dioxide in air in a clearer perspective:  If you had a room 12 ft x 12 ft x 7 ft or 3.7 mtrs x 3.7 mtrs x 2.1 mtrs, the area carbon dioxide would occupy in that room would be .25m x .25m x .17m or  the size of a  large packet of cereal.

Australia emits 1 percent of the world’s total carbon Dioxide, and the government wants to reduce this by twenty percent or reduce emissions by .2 percent of the world’s total CO2 emissions.What effect will this have on existing CO2 levels ?By their own figures they state that the CO2 in air has risen from 0.034% to 0.038% in 50 years.

Assuming this is correct, the world CO2 (in the air) has increased in 50 years by 0.004 percent.

Per year that is 0.004 divided by 50 = 0.00008 percent. (Getting confusing - but stay with me).

Of that, because we only contribute 1%, our emissions would cause CO2 to rise 0.00008 divided by 100 = 0.0000008 percent.

Of that 1%, we supposedly emit, the government wants to reduce it by 20% which is 1/5th of 0.0000008 = 0.00000016 percent effect per year they would have on the world CO2 emissions based on their own figures.

That would equate to an area in the same room, as the size of a small pin. !!!

For that they have gone crazy with the ridiculous trading schemes, Solar and roofing installations, Clean coal technology, Renewable energy, etc, etc.

How ridiculous is that ?!

The cost to the general public and industry will be enormous.  Cripple and even closing some smaller business.

T.L. Cardwell

To the Editor   I thought I should clarify.  I spent 25 years in the Electricity Commission of NSW working, commissioning and operating the various power units.  My last was the 4 x 350 MW Munmorah Power Station near

Newcastle.   I would be pleased to supply you any information you may require.

Never mind real estate, the football bubble is about to burst

Saturday, March 6th, 2010

Could the MLS have a lesson for the English Premier League? 

A incongruous as it sounds – how can an upstart, tier two organization teach the world’s most successful soccer league anything – consider the following.

1) The MLS and their players have broken off talks for a new contract. Chief among the rancor in the ranks is the MLS policy of the league controlling contract and dictating whether players can move or not. There’s also a salary cap which keeps all club on the same financial footing and theoretically means skill, discipline and shrewd management will prevail over the course of the season.

2) The EPL is in serious financial turmoil which threatens the survival of the world’s biggest money league. Portsmouth FC is in administration; the storied Manchester United and legendary Liverpool FC have both been saddled with smothering debt courtesy of their American owners who borrowed heavily to buy the clubs in the first place. Around the league there are stories daily about who is in trouble and who isn.t.

3) Playing along in its own seemingly isolated drama, the MLS has called for arbitration  in contract talks. The players have called on FIFA, the world governing body, to intervene, saying the MLS set up is in contravention of FIFA’s own rules. FIFA has declined to get involved.

So here’s the take away points from the above which ties the two story lines into one: FIFA will not and cannot intervene in the MLS dispute because it was complicit in allowing it to be created. When the MLS was born circa 1993-94 when the

US hosted the 1994 World Cup, it was structured as a tier two sport and a fragile interloper in a land where baseball, gridiron football and hockey reigned supreme. FIFA approve it because nothing happens in football without FIFA’s approval.

Since the arrival of Toronto F.C. in 2006, Seattle Sounders last year and the debut of Philadelphia this season and

Vancouver joining next year the MLS has grown to be a serious soccer league, reaching beyond its status as a “family day out for the kids and soccer moms for facepainting and other activities.”

Simply put, the atmposphere at MLS games are becoming as passionate as any Championship or Le Championat or Series B. Top foreign players are being lured here and top MLS players, David Beckham and Landon Donovan are holding places in

Europe with honour and dignity.

So, where’s the lesson? FIFA has been rumbling for sometime – as has it’s regional arm UEFA – about the “mad money” being sunk into the EPL and how it threatens to create a bubble which will eventually collapse and leave the game with a massive black hole.

FIFA’s Sepp Baltter has mused openly about instituting some kind of control system to reign in the spending. The issue has become even more critical with the purchase of

Manchester

City, a middle of the table EPL club which has been long overshadowed by their bitter crosstown rivals, Manchester United.

Manchester

City is now owned by a petro-state sovereign power with all the resources a state can bring to bear. The Abu Dhabi United Group for Development and Investment (ADUG) is a United Arab Emirates (UAE) private equity company owned by Sheikh Mansour bin Zayed Al Nahyan, member of the Abu Dhabi Royal Family and Minister of Presidential Affairs for the UAE.

It means that owning a EPL club is no longer the domain of billionaire Russian playboys (Chelsea) or highly leveraged American businessmen (Manchester United and

Liverpool).

It’s as if

Canada had bought a franchise and proceeded to deck the players in red and white strip with maple leafs and pour a billion dollars a year of tax money into the club to marry the concept of the country as a nation of winners who are prepared to do whatever it takes to win.

Part of the issue is also that the scrutiny process for prospective owners is lax. Apparently, all you need is a chequebook, regardless of whether you have the smarts or long term backing to stay in the game. And that’s what has done in Portsmouth FC this year – four owners, each of whom bungled and frittered away the franchise.

The EPL says its approach to a wide open ownership and anything goes strategy has created the most successful sports spectacle in the world and that is true. But it is clear in the race to stay in the EPL or even to get in to the EPL, clubs are recklessly gambling with huge sums of money and in doing so are indeed creating the bubble FIFA fears.

With the Euro in dire straits as the fallout from the global credit crisis still grinds into the economies of countries like

Greece, the future is grim.

It’s at this point that the MLS model looks more attractive to FIFA to impose on the EPL. Make no mistake, the EPL is in danger of becoming the tail that wags the dog. It is so big, so rich and has such a following that it threatens to overshadow FIFA and that’s a power struggle the governing body cannot afford to lose.

FIFA and UEFA needs to find a way to bring the EPL down to earth and at the same time stop the frenzied spending from infecting other leagues too deeply because it is creating another monster that the controlling bodies will have to find a way to control and shape to their own purpose, the Euro Super League.

We’ve already started to see the European Champions League start to take on a form of its own. If you’re not in

Europe you might as well pack up and go home because you’ll never generate the funds to penetrate the top echlon of your domestic league.

It’s been predicted that the Euro Super League will “break away” just as the EPL did from the Football Association League, bringing with it those lucrative television rights which will be shared among a smaller group of elite clubs.

The rich will get richer and the poor will get poorer and in the end it will hurt football. Already fans complain they can’t afford to see their favourite club because ticket prices have escalated astronomically. That’s not the case in the MLS.

So, which is a better model? The MLS has outgrown it’s training wheels and needs to step up to the next phase, a more open, freewheeling form of ownership and contracts but the EPL needs to reign itself in or find that FIFA will impose a new set of restraints.

Either way all fans like me care about is the game itself. We want top class player, top class entertainment that’s affordable and accessible.